Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.279398 0.377929 0.493128 0.635563 0.804732 0.997108 1.230238
2025-12-14 0.149239 0.262198 0.416956 0.634127 0.920718 1.276168 1.740149
2025-12-21 0.074462 0.178514 0.347974 0.616787 1.006058 1.524384 2.240856
2025-12-28 0.038359 0.130387 0.309037 0.625602 1.120795 1.817761 2.823179
2026-01-04 0.017958 0.093909 0.272578 0.625244 1.216776 2.089948 3.394839
2026-01-11 0.006545 0.063081 0.230743 0.602056 1.269476 2.300046 3.890749
2026-01-18 0.001863 0.042487 0.198453 0.585151 1.325550 2.514687 4.401165
2026-01-25 0.000405 0.030461 0.179683 0.588552 1.413547 2.780898 4.997016
2026-02-01 0.000012 0.019071 0.152540 0.564763 1.447052 2.960161 5.468865
2026-02-08 NaN 0.014860 0.147609 0.591017 1.575359 3.298500 6.194001
2026-02-15 NaN 0.010091 0.134395 0.592212 1.653712 3.556779 6.804094
2026-02-22 NaN 0.008690 0.137472 0.637681 1.824190 3.977574 7.680745
2026-03-01 NaN 0.006631 0.134092 0.665535 1.963804 4.357039 8.513314
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004429 0.125131 0.674606 2.064959 4.675168 9.260155
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002413 0.110708 0.661849 2.117223 4.909350 9.879732
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001490 0.104392 0.673900 2.224823 5.246184 10.674971
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000774 0.095826 0.674956 2.306759 5.539012 11.405197
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000244 0.082178 0.651195 2.327578 5.719586 11.954174
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000051 0.071376 0.633688 2.360427 5.922555 12.544628
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000008 0.065983 0.637472 2.445562 6.226830 13.312359
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.055612 0.612391 2.454393 6.384584 13.834608
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.055625 0.640224 2.602834 6.817596 14.836666
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.051067 0.641513 2.680894 7.115277 15.611895